We are performing daily updates; please check back soon for the full site.

Global Market Analysis

  • Real-Time Data Intelligence: Utilizing a proprietary platform to aggregate and analyze real-time market data from global sources.

  • Geopolitical and Economic Forecasting: Assessing how political events, trade agreements, and macroeconomic indicators will impact commodity prices.

  • Supply and Demand Dynamics: Continuously monitoring shifts in production and consumption to predict market imbalances.

  • Fundamental Analysis: Evaluating the core drivers of commodity prices, including inventory levels, production costs, and consumption trends.

  • Technical Chart Analysis: Using technical indicators and chart patterns to identify short-term trading opportunities and support levels.

  • Currency Fluctuation Impact: Analyzing how changes in major currencies, particularly the US Dollar, affect commodity pricing.

  • Weather and Climate Risk: Integrating weather pattern forecasts to anticipate supply disruptions for agricultural and energy commodities.

  • Competitive Intelligence: Tracking competitor activities and market share to maintain a competitive edge.

  • AI and Predictive Analytics: Employing AI and machine learning to identify complex patterns and forecast market movements with high accuracy.

  • Regulatory Change Monitoring: Staying ahead of new regulations that could impact international trade and market access.

  • Market Sentiment Indicators: Analyzing news, social media, and trader behavior to gauge overall market sentiment.

  • Historical Performance Modeling: Using historical data to build models that simulate various market scenarios.

  • Inter-Commodity Correlation: Identifying relationships between different commodity markets to inform cross-asset trading strategies.

Based on the current geopolitical landscape and recent policy announcements, the US sanctions framework significantly impacts global commodity sales in 2025:

 

  • The US Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has intensified restrictions on Russia's energy sector, specifically targeting major oil producers and the affiliated maritime logistics networks to suppress commodity revenue streams.

​​​​​​​

  • Compliance risk for commodity traders remains elevated due to the increased scrutiny of the shadow fleet and the potential for secondary sanctions on international actors facilitating the illicit transport of sanctioned crude oil and petroleum products.

Incoterms 2020 defines the essential responsibilities, costs, and risks for buyers and sellers in the international and domestic delivery of goods, standardizing commercial contract clauses globally. These rules, published by the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC), ensure clarity in critical activities like export clearance, carriage obligations, and the precise point of risk transfer between the two parties. A fundamental change in Incoterms 2020 was the clarification of appropriate levels of insurance coverage for the CIF (Cost, Insurance, and Freight) and CIP (Carriage and Insurance Paid To) rules, mitigating financial exposure for the cargo owner during transit. A significant structural update in Incoterms 2020 was the renaming of DAT (Delivered at Terminal) to DPU (Delivered at Place Unloaded), providing flexibility for the delivery point to be any agreed-upon location, not strictly a terminal.